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Test it yourself · our chart, our data TGIF the 20–30% Friday give-back
Strategy byICTInner Circle Trader · YouTube
210 weeks · 2022-07-15 to 2026-09-18 · daily bars · 45 match his setup
Tested and published by TradingBite Research·Updated 06 October 2026·How we test, and who we are·Tell us we got it wrong
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weekly range his 20–30% band given back
day 1 —
SESSION MEASURED
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Which weeks?   His setup means the weekly extreme printed Monday–Wednesday, so there is a Thursday–Friday to track. 45 of 210 weeks qualify.
Play the week. When the extreme prints, call it: does the give-back stop inside his 20–30% band, or go deeper? The band is drawn on the chart so you can watch the answer arrive. Drag to pan; scroll zooms; double-click resets.
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Right now —
Signal
waiting
No level touched yet this session.
Your trading
trades
0
win rate
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total
$0.00
per trade
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in his band
4 of 45
Across 45 weeks matching his setup, 4 landed in the 20–30% band.
The strategy frozen rules
  1. Take the week’s extreme — the high in an up week, the low in a down week.
  2. His setup requires that extreme to print Monday to Wednesday, so there is a Thursday–Friday left to track.
  3. “Start tracking Thursday 1pm” — measure the move back off the extreme from there (Thursday counts from 13:00, Friday in full).
  4. The claim: it gives back 20–30% of the weekly range (40% on an outlier week).
  5. Measured as a share of that week’s own high-to-low range.
Unitone week, daily bars
Extreme must printMonday – Wednesday
Tracked fromThursday 1pm
Claimed give-back20 – 30% of the weekly range
Measured median75.0%
Weeks in his band4 of 45
Verdictrejected — it rarely lands there
Your test 0 / 20
Trade 20 sessions and we will tell you what your test proves.
Your trades this session onward
Take a trade when a level is touched.
This week
Your running average
weeks
0
his band
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stopped there
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went deeper
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your calls
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What we found over 210 weeks

Across all 210 weeks the median give-back off the weekly extreme is 47.1% of the weekly range — not 20–30%.

Isolating his exact setup — the extreme printing Monday to Wednesday, measured from Thursday 1pm, which is 45 of those weeks — the median give-back is 75.0%. It landed in the claimed 20–30% band 4 times out of 45.

28.9% of those weeks gave back 90% or more. When the extreme genuinely forms early, what follows is usually a deep reversal, not a nibble.

Read the other way — where the week closes relative to its extreme — the median is 17.8%, closer to the claim. But only 12.9% of weeks close in the 20–30% band: the closes crowd near the extreme and thin out from there, with no bump at 20–30%.

Our choices, not ICT's: an up week is one that closed above Monday’s open. That is only known on Friday, so this page describes past weeks — it is not a setup you could have traded in real time.

One related claim worth flagging: that 58% of weekly extremes form on Friday. That is a drift signature of the 2022–26 bull run, not a weekly profile — for a driftless walk the arcsine law puts extremes at both ends.

Where this comes from the claim, before the test
SourcePaste the video id into sources.json and rebuild to embed the original here.
What it claims
The setupthe weekly extreme forms early in the week
When to trackstart tracking Thursday
The claimprice gives back 20-30% of the weekly range
Outlier allowance40% on an outlier week
Costs includednot mentioned

Everything above is taken from the source and frozen. The chart tests those exact words — nothing added, nothing softened.

Journal — your saved sessions 0 saved
Your test · complete

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You against the rules

How your trades ended

Which line you traded

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How this was produced

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