These are episodes, not days. His model runs across the calendar rather than inside a session, so each replay is the window around one set-up: price arriving at the order block, the sweep, the break, and the trade.
What still cannot be tested is his own timeframe. He works the weekly and the daily; the pairings here are 4-hour and 1-hour, which are also his but are not the charts he showed.
- Two timeframes, always. A high one for the picture and a low one for the entry. He gives the pairings himself: weekly/daily, daily/H1, H4/M15, H1/M5.
- Three-candle swings. A high with a lower candle either side. A market structure break is a close through that swing, not a wick.
- Mark the range from the swing low that started the leg to the swing high that formed after the break.
- The order block is the down move immediately before the up move that broke structure — “the selling that occurred before the buying that took out this high”.
- It must sit in discount, the lower half of the range. “I want to buy cheap.”
- Then drop down. Inside that order block, wait for a swing low, wait for it to be swept — the engineered liquidity, other traders' stops — and then for the high that made it to be broken.
- Enter at the breaker. “You now have your breaker block that forms — that's your entry.” The block the break went through, on the return to it.
- The stop goes below the swept low, not just below the entry: “if this low gets taken out, I'm wrong anyways”.
- The target is the old swing high, and the trade must offer at least 2.0:1 or he does not take it. At 2.0R, “I either take half off or I'll move my stop to break even.”
| his model, as taught | trades | win | a trade | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin, 4-hour | 380 | 13.7% | $169.47 | −$375.44 to $754.42 |
| Bitcoin, 1-hour | 972 | 15.0% | −$146.96 | −$326.80 to $40.50 |
| Nasdaq, 4-hour | 226 | 15.5% | −$0.53 | −$30.17 to $31.93 |
| Nasdaq, 1-hour | 614 | 16.9% | −$2.57 | −$14.89 to $9.70 |
His central claim. He does not claim order blocks are special. He claims the entry only works inside the higher-timeframe picture: “this is the thing that most people miss early on — they're looking for their entry pattern to form without the high time frame picture”. It holds on every lens: taking the identical entry without the higher-timeframe picture does worse on all four. Without the picture the entry loses clearly on Bitcoin 1-hour, Nasdaq 4-hour, Nasdaq 1-hour.
| lens | his model | without the picture | the picture is worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin, 4-hour | $169.47 | −$261.37 | $430.84 |
| Bitcoin, 1-hour | −$146.96 | −$329.71 | $182.75 |
| Nasdaq, 4-hour | −$0.53 | −$20.97 | $20.44 |
| Nasdaq, 1-hour | −$2.57 | −$18.99 | $16.42 |
His entry trigger. Entering on the order block alone does better on Bitcoin 1-hour and worse on the others.
| lens | with his trigger | without it | difference | 95% range without |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin, 4-hour | $169.47 | $118.20 | −$51.27 | −$222.27 to $485.48 |
| Bitcoin, 1-hour | −$146.96 | $192.05 | $339.01 | $56.24 to $333.93 |
| Nasdaq, 4-hour | −$0.53 | −$12.68 | −$12.15 | −$36.34 to $12.15 |
| Nasdaq, 1-hour | −$2.57 | −$11.31 | −$8.74 | −$17.86 to −$4.35 |
The same table, live. This one follows the two switches above, and it is what the pickers on the chart drive.
Corrections to earlier versions of this page. One discarded every short trade because the set-up list was out of time order, and said we held no crypto data when six years of Bitcoin futures were in the archive. A later one entered on the close of the bar that broke the high. He waits for that break but does not enter there: “you now have your breaker block that forms — that's your entry.” The entry is now the breaker block, and every number on this page is from his rules.
Everything else worth saying
The controls are his model with a part removed. No higher timeframe takes the identical entry anywhere. No sweep enters on the order block alone — which he allows: “you could literally enter right at the top of the order block”.
Two management options, because he gives two. At 2R he either takes half off or moves the stop to break-even. The page uses break-even; half off gives very similar results on every lens.
The target has to already exist. An early version targeted the highest price of the bars after the structure break, which is knowing the future. His wording is the fix — “the swing high that formed after the market structure break” — so the target is a swing that has already formed.
What this test does not do
We tested his stated rules: three-candle swings, a close through for the break, the range, the order block in discount, the sweep, the breaker entry, the stop below the swept low, the 2.0:1 minimum and his de-risk at 2.0R. He says the entry is the most subjective part: “everyone has their intricacies of how they like to enter.”
- His own charts are longer. He works the weekly and the daily; these lenses are 4-hour and 1-hour, which he also names.
- He adds size on a higher-timeframe sweep and layers entries. Neither is included.
- How long the breaker retest may take is not given. It is allowed a fixed number of bars.
- The replay is a sample. Every number is scored over the whole period; the chart ships 140 set-ups on the 1-hour lens and 140 on the 4-hour one.
If you use a pair that is not in the grid, or a filter you think matters, say so and we will test it the same way and publish it.
Verified eight-figure trader and co-founder of Breakout, the crypto prop firm Kraken acquired in 2025. He invites this test himself: “this is almost so mechanical that you could code it 100% into an algo.” His examples are Bitcoin and Solana; this is tested on Nasdaq futures, a market he names as one he has traded the framework on.
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